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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+2.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+1.55vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+0.21vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.37+5.02vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.71-0.25vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University0.59+1.31vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.83-0.19vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.92-1.39vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.27vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.56-2.33vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.56-3.33vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.39-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Stanford University2.930.2%1st Place
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3.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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3.21University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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9.02California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.13University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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8.31Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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8.67California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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8.67California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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8.99University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 22.7% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 16.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 18.5% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 22.2% | 21.5% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 13.8% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.