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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.71+3.82vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.47+1.04vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.93-0.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-1.41vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.37+2.98vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.56+1.38vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University0.59+0.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.26vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.56-1.62vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.83-3.20vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.92-4.16vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.39-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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5.82University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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4.04University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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3.21Stanford University2.930.2%1st Place
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3.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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8.98California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.38California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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8.38Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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8.38California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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8.98University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 21.5% | 22.0% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.1% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 14.6% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 22.9% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 18.5% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.