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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.47+2.10vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University0.59+5.48vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.71+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.92-2.76vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.92+0.54vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.56+0.46vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.37-0.08vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.56-1.54vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.83-3.18vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-5.08vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.39-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Stanford University2.930.2%1st Place
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4.1University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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8.48Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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8.46California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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8.92California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.46California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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7.82University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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8.95University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 22.1% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 14.1% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 18.7% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 21.4% | 22.3% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.