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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+7.39vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+2.29vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+4.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.09+2.46vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+3.32vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-0.57vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+1.47vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.93-1.09vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.29+3.85vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-1.78vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-2.93vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.77-0.85vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.63-4.80vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-3.08vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.30-5.68vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.43-3.65vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.55-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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4.29Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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7.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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5.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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6.91College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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12.85Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.15Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.2Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.92Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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9.32Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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12.35Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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16.15University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 17.8% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Clark Hayes | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| David Thompson | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.6% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 25.7% | 8.3% |
| Frederick Whitman | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 3.3% |
| Daniel Perkins | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 2.2% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Walker Banks | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 7.1% |
| Linda Codega | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 75.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.