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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+6.62vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+3.65vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.40+3.08vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.71+6.56vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.73+0.87vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.35+1.07vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20-2.12vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07+0.63vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.58+4.68vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University1.47-3.01vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.88-2.12vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17+3.08vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.02-0.85vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-0.28-1.32vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.42-4.31vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-9.78vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.06-4.76vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.54-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.0%1st Place
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5.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0511.3%1st Place
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6.08University of Southern California1.409.9%1st Place
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10.56Fordham University0.712.6%1st Place
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5.87Boston College1.7310.8%1st Place
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7.07Tulane University1.358.0%1st Place
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4.88Georgetown University2.2015.8%1st Place
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8.63George Washington University1.075.2%1st Place
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13.68University of California at Berkeley-0.581.2%1st Place
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6.99San Diego State University1.477.1%1st Place
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8.88California Poly Maritime Academy0.884.2%1st Place
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15.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.170.4%1st Place
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12.15Northwestern University-0.021.5%1st Place
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12.68University of Washington-0.281.4%1st Place
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10.69University of California at San Diego0.422.5%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Santa Barbara1.6710.0%1st Place
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12.24University of Washington-0.061.8%1st Place
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16.03California State University Channel Islands-1.540.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Zylinski | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Alex Lech | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 15.8% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emerson Marquez | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 9.8% |
| Aston Smith | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Mira Shupe | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 24.1% | 27.2% |
| Cole Abbott | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
| Alice Meng | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 4.9% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 10.0% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Brent Lin | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 18.1% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.