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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+9.46vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+4.30vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.08vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+5.26vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.82vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.36-1.57vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.05+2.21vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia2.39+3.76vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.33vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.44-2.12vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-2.45vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.84-1.63vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.10-4.15vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.25-5.82vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University2.21-2.54vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.56-1.36vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo2.44-5.27vs Predicted
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18Villanova University1.59-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.46Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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6.3Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.26Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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4.43Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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9.21SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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11.76University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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10.37Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.85George Washington University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.18Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.46Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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14.64Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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14.35Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 17.8% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 7.5% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Michael Popp | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Roger Dorr | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Austin Powers | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% |
| Casey Brown | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 31.5% |
| Griffin Orr | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| Domenic Re | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 18.4% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.