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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+7.97vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+6.61vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.10+6.13vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+0.48vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77+5.22vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia2.39+5.84vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-1.11vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+0.38vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.21vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo2.44+1.84vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.84-0.81vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.56+2.80vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.52vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-8.00vs Predicted
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15Hampton University3.02-5.82vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.21-3.48vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.05-7.70vs Predicted
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18Villanova University1.59-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.97University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.61Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.13George Washington University3.100.1%1st Place
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4.48Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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10.22Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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5.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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11.84University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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10.19Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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14.8Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.0Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.18Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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12.52Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.3SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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14.39Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 18.1% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Griffin Orr | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Casey Brown | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 36.3% |
| Michael Popp | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Austin Powers | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 10.3% |
| Nick Valente | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Domenic Re | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 19.0% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.