← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.82+5.40vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University4.36+2.57vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.06vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University3.25+4.32vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College3.05+4.15vs Predicted
-
6University of Virginia2.39+5.82vs Predicted
-
7Hampton University3.02+2.29vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.44vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University3.10-0.03vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-3.87vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University2.21+1.61vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.77-1.40vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.38vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-5.87vs Predicted
-
15Washington College2.84-5.00vs Predicted
-
16Villanova University1.59-1.43vs Predicted
-
17University of Buffalo2.44-5.26vs Predicted
-
18Webb Institute1.56-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.4Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
4.57Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
8.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.32Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
-
9.15SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
-
11.82University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
-
9.29Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
-
7.56U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
8.97George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
-
6.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
12.61Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
-
10.6Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
8.62University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
-
8.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
-
10.0Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
14.57Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
-
11.74University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
-
14.46Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 14.7% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Nick Valente | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| Michael Popp | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 11.5% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Jack Swikart | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Domenic Re | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 28.8% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% |
| Casey Brown | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 18.1% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.