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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.73+4.84vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+3.59vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.40+3.16vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+3.28vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20-0.01vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.35+1.12vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.71+3.58vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07+0.79vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University1.47-2.06vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.88-1.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.58+2.55vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.42-1.44vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-6.49vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.54+2.20vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-0.02-2.88vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.28-3.03vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17-2.08vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.06-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Boston College1.7311.8%1st Place
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5.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0510.8%1st Place
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6.16University of Southern California1.409.2%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.1%1st Place
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4.99Georgetown University2.2014.9%1st Place
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7.12Tulane University1.356.9%1st Place
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10.58Fordham University0.712.9%1st Place
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8.79George Washington University1.075.0%1st Place
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6.94San Diego State University1.477.3%1st Place
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8.85California Poly Maritime Academy0.884.3%1st Place
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13.55University of California at Berkeley-0.581.5%1st Place
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10.56University of California at San Diego0.422.9%1st Place
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6.51University of California at Santa Barbara1.678.7%1st Place
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16.2California State University Channel Islands-1.540.5%1st Place
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12.12Northwestern University-0.021.8%1st Place
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12.97University of Washington-0.281.6%1st Place
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14.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.170.9%1st Place
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12.03University of Washington-0.061.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lech | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Aston Smith | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Cuyler | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emerson Marquez | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 9.6% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brent Lin | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 19.1% | 49.7% |
| Cole Abbott | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
| Alice Meng | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 6.0% |
| Mira Shupe | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 23.3% | 26.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.