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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+3.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.09+4.30vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+5.39vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+1.32vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.93+1.86vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.64vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.30+2.35vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+0.28vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.67-0.90vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.50-1.50vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.29+1.74vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.43+0.34vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.63-4.79vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.51-5.38vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.90-4.26vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.77-4.75vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.55-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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5.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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6.86College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.35Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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8.1Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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8.5Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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12.74Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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12.34Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.21Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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10.74Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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11.25Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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16.16University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 20.2% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Whitman | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| David Thompson | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Emily Maxwell | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 26.2% | 9.2% |
| Walker Banks | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 6.5% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 2.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 3.5% |
| Linda Codega | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.