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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.83vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.94+1.99vs Predicted
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3U. S. Military Academy1.14+0.64vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University1.49-0.83vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.19+0.67vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.61-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo-0.24-1.21vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-1.90-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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3.99SUNY Stony Brook0.940.1%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Military Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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3.17Syracuse University1.490.2%1st Place
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5.67Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
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4.45Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.46Rochester Institute of Technology-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 50.4% | 27.7% | 13.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 9.3% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 20.6% | 19.3% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 11.9% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 15.7% | 22.9% | 21.3% | 19.3% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Barrett Adams | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 23.2% | 31.2% | 8.9% |
| Thomas Slook | 6.9% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 11.7% | 1.9% |
| James Mullane | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 21.6% | 33.3% | 11.5% |
| Ethan Griswold | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 12.1% | 75.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.