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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy1.14+2.65vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.13vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology0.61+1.51vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.94-0.02vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University1.49-1.81vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo-0.24-0.28vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-1.90+0.46vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.19-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65U. S. Military Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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1.87SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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4.51Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.1%1st Place
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3.98SUNY Stony Brook0.940.1%1st Place
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3.19Syracuse University1.490.2%1st Place
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5.72University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.46Rochester Institute of Technology-1.900.0%1st Place
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5.62Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schmitt | 12.2% | 15.4% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 49.5% | 26.6% | 14.4% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Slook | 6.9% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 19.5% | 12.4% | 2.2% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 9.2% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 15.3% | 24.1% | 21.2% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| James Mullane | 3.3% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 32.1% | 11.2% |
| Ethan Griswold | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 11.9% | 75.9% |
| Barrett Adams | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 22.0% | 29.4% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.