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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy0.51+1.73vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.03+1.59vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.28+1.15vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.05-0.42vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78+0.03vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-1.19-0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo-1.31-0.98vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.93-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73U. S. Military Academy0.510.3%1st Place
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3.59SUNY Stony Brook0.030.2%1st Place
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4.15Drexel University-0.280.1%1st Place
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3.58SUNY Stony Brook0.050.2%1st Place
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5.03Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.1%1st Place
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5.71Stevens Institute of Technology-1.190.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
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5.2Syracuse University-0.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Danko | 29.5% | 23.9% | 18.7% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 17.0% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Cooper Voigt | 12.9% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 4.8% |
| Cody Murphy | 17.4% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Kalil | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 12.4% |
| Austin Swain | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 27.6% |
| Peter Smith | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 20.2% | 34.3% |
| Kevin McCandless | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 18.0% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.