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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy0.51+1.74vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.28+2.14vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.05+0.50vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.03-0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo-1.31+1.00vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78-1.00vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-1.19-1.19vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.93-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74U. S. Military Academy0.510.3%1st Place
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4.14Drexel University-0.280.1%1st Place
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3.5SUNY Stony Brook0.050.2%1st Place
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3.59SUNY Stony Brook0.030.2%1st Place
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6.0University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
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5.0Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.1%1st Place
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5.81Stevens Institute of Technology-1.190.1%1st Place
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5.22Syracuse University-0.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Danko | 28.9% | 24.6% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Cooper Voigt | 12.1% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 5.1% |
| Cody Murphy | 18.4% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 16.7% | 19.1% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Peter Smith | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 21.6% | 31.3% |
| Andrew Kalil | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 13.6% |
| Austin Swain | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 21.3% | 28.8% |
| Kevin McCandless | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.