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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.95+5.93vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+4.38vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.05+7.52vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+4.10vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.18+4.85vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83+1.74vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-2.04vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.47vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.64-0.49vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.63-1.79vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.49-1.96vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-2.19vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.73-4.93vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-1.25vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.68-3.19vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.35-0.66vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-9.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.38Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.1Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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4.96Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.51Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.04Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.75Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.81Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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15.34Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Raul Rios | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Graham Landy | 15.1% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| John Silvestri | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 20.1% | 16.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 8.7% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 58.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.