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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.95+5.93vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+2.95vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+3.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.64vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.23+4.67vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.73+2.11vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.68+4.85vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18+1.82vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.64-0.53vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-2.08vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.63-2.51vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.49-3.13vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.83-5.33vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-1.26vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-6.63vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.05-5.35vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.35-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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4.95Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.49Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.67Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.85Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.82Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.47Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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7.92Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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12.74Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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15.35Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 15.7% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 7.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| John Silvestri | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 24.0% | 13.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 4.3% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 12.1% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.