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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+7.09vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+4.98vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+5.28vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73+3.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.45vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.68+5.93vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-0.52vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-3.00vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18+1.13vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-2.12vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.49-2.05vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.63-3.79vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.83-5.39vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.23-5.09vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.05-5.55vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.65-0.88vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.28Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.93Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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6.48Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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5.0Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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10.13Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.88Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.95Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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16.12Middlebury College0.650.0%1st Place
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12.58Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 19.4% | 5.4% |
| Raul Rios | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 15.4% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 1.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% |
| Felix Wimmer | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 76.1% |
| John Silvestri | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 23.9% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.