← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+4.13vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.67+5.84vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+4.48vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University4.74+0.47vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.63+2.94vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+2.61vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+1.38vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont3.51+0.35vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University3.30+0.55vs Predicted
-
10Boston College3.50-1.52vs Predicted
-
11Washington College2.29+1.77vs Predicted
-
12Yale University2.77-0.87vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University2.90-2.10vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College2.43-1.64vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston3.93-8.05vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy4.09-9.50vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia0.55-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
-
7.84Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
7.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
-
4.47Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
-
7.94Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
-
8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
-
8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
-
8.35University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
9.55Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
-
8.48Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
-
12.77Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
-
11.13Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
-
10.9Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
-
12.36Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
-
6.95College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
-
6.5U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
-
16.17University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Thompson | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 18.1% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Frederick Whitman | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| Emily Maxwell | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 27.0% | 8.9% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 3.4% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 3.3% |
| Walker Banks | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 20.5% | 6.7% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Linda Codega | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 74.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.