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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.94vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+3.71vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+2.11vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.98+1.85vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+2.92vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.73+0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.40-0.60vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.35-0.45vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University1.47-1.89vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.88-0.75vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.07-1.76vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.06+0.32vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17+2.20vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-0.28-1.03vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.58-1.15vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego0.42-5.14vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University-0.02-4.69vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.54-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.677.7%1st Place
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5.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0511.6%1st Place
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5.11Georgetown University2.2014.1%1st Place
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5.85Fordham University1.9810.4%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.7%1st Place
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6.22Boston College1.739.8%1st Place
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6.4University of Southern California1.408.8%1st Place
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7.55Tulane University1.356.3%1st Place
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7.11San Diego State University1.477.2%1st Place
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9.25California Poly Maritime Academy0.884.9%1st Place
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9.24George Washington University1.073.8%1st Place
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12.32University of Washington-0.062.1%1st Place
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15.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.170.5%1st Place
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12.97University of Washington-0.281.6%1st Place
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13.85University of California at Berkeley-0.580.7%1st Place
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10.86University of California at San Diego0.422.2%1st Place
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12.31Northwestern University-0.022.1%1st Place
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16.21California State University Channel Islands-1.540.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Lech | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Aston Smith | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Mira Shupe | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 25.4% | 26.4% |
| Alice Meng | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 6.0% |
| Emerson Marquez | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 10.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Cole Abbott | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 3.3% |
| Brent Lin | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 19.7% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.