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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+3.91vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+4.98vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+4.92vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.23+5.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.45vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.48vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+1.82vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.63-0.95vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.68+1.96vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-3.60vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.12-5.39vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.64-4.77vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.70-5.88vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-2.40vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.05-5.58vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.18-6.96vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College0.65-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.82Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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11.96Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.23Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.12Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.6Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.04Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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16.2Middlebury College0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 16.1% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Scott Goodrich | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 19.6% | 5.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| John Silvestri | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 25.6% | 8.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 2.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 1.6% |
| Felix Wimmer | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 77.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.