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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.49+7.53vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+4.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+2.02vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73+3.93vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.41vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+1.19vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.70+0.97vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.23+1.50vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.83-1.38vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.84vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.64-2.66vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.18-2.11vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.68-1.20vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.05-4.46vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.63-7.81vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.08-3.51vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College0.65-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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5.02Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.97Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.34Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.89Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.8Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.19University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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13.49Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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16.12Middlebury College0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Drumm | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Raul Rios | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 14.3% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| William Macdonald | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 0.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 6.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 1.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 31.4% | 12.6% |
| Felix Wimmer | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 10.5% | 74.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.