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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+6.83vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.45+10.48vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.49+5.85vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73+4.04vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83+2.39vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.35+9.46vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.63+1.33vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.05+2.33vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.68+3.07vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18-0.07vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.64-2.48vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.59vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-5.80vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.55-8.90vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-8.40vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.12-9.51vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.23-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.48Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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15.46Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.33University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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12.07Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.93Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.52Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.2Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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5.1Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.49Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.96Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| John Silvestri | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 12.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 11.9% | 63.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| Scott Goodrich | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 8.8% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 2.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| William Macdonald | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Graham Landy | 15.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Raul Rios | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.