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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.41vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+4.98vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+3.08vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55-0.12vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.64+2.40vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.68+4.79vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18+1.77vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.63-0.59vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.05+0.41vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-3.33vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.96-1.25vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.73-5.00vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.49-5.08vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-6.74vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-3.39vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.35-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.98Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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4.88Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.4Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.77Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.0Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.92Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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12.61Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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15.34Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Graham Landy | 16.0% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 7.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 5.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| John Silvestri | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 20.5% | 14.0% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.