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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+6.28vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+6.12vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+2.00vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+2.50vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.13vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70+2.16vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.63+1.30vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.08vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.73-0.94vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-3.55vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.05-0.37vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.96-1.28vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.18-2.92vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.49-5.04vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-2.51vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.68-4.15vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.35-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.12Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.0Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.5Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.16Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.08Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.96Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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12.49Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.85Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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15.34Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Graham Landy | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 4.3% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 4.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| John Silvestri | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 21.7% | 13.4% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 8.8% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.