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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.30vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.63+6.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+4.78vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+3.51vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+3.02vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12+0.56vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95-0.01vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.43+0.87vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.70-0.87vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.35+5.32vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.18-0.88vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.55-7.00vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-4.62vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-3.36vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-2.51vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.68-5.13vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.96-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.51Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.02Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.99Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.13Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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15.32Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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10.12Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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5.0Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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12.49Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.87Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.87Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Raul Rios | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| William Macdonald | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 58.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Graham Landy | 13.8% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| John Silvestri | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 20.7% | 14.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 9.1% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 1.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.