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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.63+7.02vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.45vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+5.25vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+3.06vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+2.77vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12+0.59vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.73+0.89vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-3.05vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.68+2.96vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18-0.16vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.56vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-3.04vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.83-5.43vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-3.39vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.96-4.29vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-3.40vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.35-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.25Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.06Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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4.95Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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11.96Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.84Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.96Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.71Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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12.6Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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15.32Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| William Macdonald | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Raul Rios | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Graham Landy | 15.5% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 9.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 3.9% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
| John Silvestri | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 19.3% | 13.6% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 14.0% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.