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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.18vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+4.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.45vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+5.85vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+2.92vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.43+3.07vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-2.15vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.70-0.31vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.73-1.07vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.68+1.54vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.63-2.69vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.80vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.83-5.51vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.19-0.70vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.35+0.06vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-3.49vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.23-8.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.92Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.07Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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4.85Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.54Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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13.3University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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15.06Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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12.51Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.73Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Graham Landy | 14.4% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 6.8% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 23.2% | 18.9% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 54.1% |
| John Silvestri | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 11.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.