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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+4.82vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.98+3.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.73+3.22vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+3.78vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.35+2.49vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.40-0.53vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07+0.94vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-3.80vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University1.47-2.63vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.88-1.68vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.06+0.36vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.58+0.72vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17+1.23vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.42-4.10vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University-0.02-3.39vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.28-3.94vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.54-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0511.4%1st Place
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5.81Fordham University1.9811.3%1st Place
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6.22Boston College1.739.9%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.2%1st Place
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7.49Tulane University1.357.9%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Santa Barbara1.678.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Southern California1.409.7%1st Place
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8.94George Washington University1.074.5%1st Place
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5.2Georgetown University2.2011.6%1st Place
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7.37San Diego State University1.476.8%1st Place
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9.32California Poly Maritime Academy0.884.2%1st Place
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12.36University of Washington-0.061.5%1st Place
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13.72University of California at Berkeley-0.580.9%1st Place
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15.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.170.7%1st Place
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10.9University of California at San Diego0.422.4%1st Place
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12.61Northwestern University-0.021.5%1st Place
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13.06University of Washington-0.281.4%1st Place
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16.14California State University Channel Islands-1.540.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Cuyler | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| Emerson Marquez | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 9.3% |
| Mira Shupe | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 23.9% | 26.5% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Cole Abbott | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 4.4% |
| Alice Meng | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 5.9% |
| Brent Lin | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.