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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.44vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+4.15vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+4.34vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+2.11vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.52+2.94vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.13+3.79vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79+0.10vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.41-0.30vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.49-1.94vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.82vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.21-2.70vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.52+1.71vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.71-2.65vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-2.15vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.41-8.42vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.60-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.15Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.11Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.94Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.79Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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7.1Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.72Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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8.06Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.3Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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14.71Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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11.35University of Rhode Island2.710.0%1st Place
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12.85Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.58Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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11.68Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Cook | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Scott Houck | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| David Larson | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Ben Brown | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 48.6% |
| Kaitlin Cornwall | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 7.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 19.0% | 19.8% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.