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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.88vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+4.05vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.41+5.63vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+2.93vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.79+2.01vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+2.50vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.60+4.66vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.52+0.08vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.13+0.92vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.41-1.50vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49+1.07vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.27vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.01-6.51vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.21-0.96vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-5.78vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.73-9.51vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.52-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.05Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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6.93Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.01Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.66Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.08Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.92Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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12.07Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.49Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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13.04Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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14.79Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.7% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Scott Houck | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 7.7% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Brendan Cook | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte List | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 12.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 20.9% | 19.4% |
| David Larson | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Ben Brown | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.