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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.00vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+5.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.68vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.52+10.68vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+3.43vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52+2.42vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88-0.13vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60+3.40vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-1.81vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.01-3.72vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.49-2.47vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.73-4.59vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.21+0.08vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.13-4.09vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-5.82vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.41-7.30vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.49-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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14.68Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.4Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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13.08Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.91Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.13Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Ben Brown | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 8.7% | 16.9% | 47.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 8.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 16.0% | 19.8% | 18.7% |
| Brendan Cook | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| David Larson | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte List | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.