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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.59vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.99vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+4.24vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52+4.32vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+1.28vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+1.12vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.73+0.52vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-1.88vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.49+3.29vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60+1.68vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.49-2.43vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.65-4.21vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-3.58vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.24-4.46vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-2.04vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.41-7.25vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.52-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.24Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.12Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.12Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.29Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.68Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.54Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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12.96Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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14.82Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 12.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 8.2% |
| Scott Houck | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Duncan Swain | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| David Larson | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 20.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Ben Brown | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.