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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+6.14vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+4.34vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.41+5.71vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+8.06vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+4.22vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73+1.66vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.65+0.89vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-1.16vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-0.33vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.52-1.83vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.21+2.03vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.08-5.72vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.52+0.73vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-7.07vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-6.71vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.60-5.15vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.84-10.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.34Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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12.06Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.22Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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6.84Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.17Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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13.03Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.28Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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14.73Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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11.85Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte List | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 10.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 20.7% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Ben Brown | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 17.9% | 48.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| David Larson | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 8.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.