← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.88+6.01vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College3.52+6.48vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.08vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont3.41+5.04vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.73+2.59vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.24+3.82vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.59vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.79-0.66vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.49-0.11vs Predicted
-
10Boston College4.01-3.48vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.49+1.35vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.81-0.78vs Predicted
-
13Yale University4.08-6.47vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.60-1.87vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.65-6.92vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island3.84-8.63vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College1.52-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.01Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
8.48Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
9.04University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
-
7.59Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
9.82Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
-
7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
7.34Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
8.89Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
-
6.52Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
12.35Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
11.22Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
-
6.53Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
12.13Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
8.08Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
7.37University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
14.97Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Scott Houck | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 14.4% |
| Charles Welsh | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 6.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 12.4% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Ben Brown | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.