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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.19vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+5.40vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+5.49vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65+4.16vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+7.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.26vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84+0.24vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.52+6.71vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-1.24vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.88-2.95vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.01-4.19vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.41-3.07vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.81-1.54vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.73-6.15vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.60-4.01vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.49-8.26vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.24-8.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.4Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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12.25Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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14.71Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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11.46Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.85Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.7Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte List | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 15.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Brown | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 15.1% | 51.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Charles Welsh | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 8.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 11.9% |
| Scott Houck | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.