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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+7.95vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.34+10.43vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+4.74vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.76vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.52+3.08vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01+0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-0.03vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79-0.89vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.21+4.12vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.88-3.20vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.73-3.43vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-2.28vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.49-4.47vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.08-7.74vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.49-3.03vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.41-7.34vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.52-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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12.43Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.08Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.97University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.11Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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13.12Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.8Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.26Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.97Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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14.75Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Larson | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 13.5% |
| Duncan Swain | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 20.9% | 18.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Scott Houck | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 11.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Ben Brown | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.