Race 6A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Rush 47.1% 25.6% 13.6% 7.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Arntsen 9.9% 11.8% 15.2% 15.4% 16.4% 12.8% 10.0% 6.4% 1.6% 0.5%
Ryan Byrne 6.1% 8.6% 9.8% 10.9% 14.1% 17.2% 14.9% 11.4% 5.5% 1.5%
Ian Donahue 8.9% 12.6% 18.8% 16.7% 14.6% 13.6% 8.2% 4.2% 2.0% 0.4%
Tom Charpentier 3.0% 4.8% 4.3% 7.3% 6.6% 11.8% 13.2% 20.9% 19.3% 8.8%
Jon Beery 8.2% 10.3% 12.5% 13.0% 15.4% 14.2% 12.8% 8.4% 4.2% 1.0%
Christopher Hulse 2.2% 3.4% 4.8% 5.8% 9.2% 11.0% 17.9% 20.0% 17.4% 8.3%
John Fonte 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 3.1% 2.7% 5.4% 8.7% 12.8% 26.9% 35.7%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 13.1% 19.9% 17.6% 17.6% 13.4% 9.2% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Natalie Fohl 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 2.7% 4.0% 3.2% 7.6% 13.2% 22.3% 43.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.