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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+3.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.09+4.29vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.63+5.08vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.93+3.04vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.90+5.59vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.66vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67+0.97vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-2.85vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-0.47vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-1.66vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.29+1.79vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.50-3.47vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.51-4.35vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.30-4.56vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.55+1.06vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.77-4.74vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.43-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.04College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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10.59Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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8.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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12.79Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.53Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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9.44Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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16.06University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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11.26Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.35Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 20.8% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 2.1% |
| Megan Magill | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| David Thompson | 13.9% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Whitman | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 25.7% | 9.2% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Linda Codega | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 74.6% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 3.3% |
| Walker Banks | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.