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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.01vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.52+6.26vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+6.28vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+3.20vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.27+4.18vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.13+4.09vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79+0.29vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34+4.40vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.65-0.90vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.88-3.13vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.49-2.30vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.73-4.44vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.01-6.43vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.04vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-2.01vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.52-1.13vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.21-7.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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10.09Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.4Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.56Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.99Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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14.87Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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9.67Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| David Larson | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Booker | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 15.4% |
| Duncan Swain | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Scott Houck | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 20.3% | 20.5% |
| Ben Brown | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 17.6% | 48.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.