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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.07vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+4.87vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.49+5.49vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52+4.36vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.04vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34+5.64vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.13+1.67vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.01-2.33vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.65-2.25vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21-1.25vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.73-4.47vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-5.79vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.79-6.59vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.27-5.64vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.21-2.88vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.52-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.64Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.67Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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6.67Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.75Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.53Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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13.12Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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14.88Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.6% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| David Larson | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 15.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Michael Booker | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 21.6% | 18.8% |
| Ben Brown | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.