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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+5.88vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+4.13vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+3.76vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52+4.11vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+0.92vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.65+1.75vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.71+4.14vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.21+1.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.29vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.27-1.06vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.13-1.26vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.73-4.72vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.49-4.67vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.34-1.42vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-2.19vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-6.89vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.52-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.13Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.11Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Rhode Island2.710.0%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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9.74Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.33Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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12.58Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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12.81Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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14.72Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlin Cornwall | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 5.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Michael Booker | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Scott Houck | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 15.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 18.6% |
| David Larson | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Ben Brown | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.