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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.59vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.13+7.72vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+3.92vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+3.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.65+2.67vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.21+3.66vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.08-0.81vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.52+0.14vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.61-0.87vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.82vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.73-3.38vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.01-5.58vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.71-1.50vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.27-4.54vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-2.06vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.60-5.21vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.52-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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6.92Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.25Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.66Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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6.19Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.14Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.13Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.62Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Rhode Island2.710.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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12.94Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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14.82Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Swain | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlin Cornwall | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 8.8% |
| Michael Booker | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 20.8% | 20.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 9.8% |
| Ben Brown | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.