← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Oregon1.55+1.86vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University1.08+1.44vs Predicted
-
3Oregon State University1.47-0.08vs Predicted
-
4University of British Columbia1.92-1.62vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington1.11-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.86University of Oregon1.550.2%1st Place
-
3.44Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
-
2.92Oregon State University1.470.2%1st Place
-
2.38University of British Columbia1.920.3%1st Place
-
3.39University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Moran | 21.4% | 22.0% | 22.2% | 17.7% | 16.7% |
| Gabe Hill | 12.2% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 24.0% | 29.9% |
| Cody Odou | 19.5% | 23.0% | 20.0% | 20.7% | 16.8% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 32.8% | 24.4% | 22.0% | 13.5% | 7.3% |
| Kate Flanagan | 14.1% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 24.1% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.