← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of British Columbia1.92+1.17vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University1.08+1.13vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon1.55-0.46vs Predicted
-
4Oregon State University0.21+0.06vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington1.11-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17University of British Columbia1.920.4%1st Place
-
3.13Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
-
2.54University of Oregon1.550.3%1st Place
-
4.06Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
-
3.09University of Washington1.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 38.9% | 26.0% | 19.5% | 10.7% | 4.9% |
| Gabe Hill | 14.1% | 19.7% | 22.8% | 25.6% | 17.8% |
| Stephen Moran | 25.1% | 27.6% | 23.0% | 16.3% | 8.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 6.0% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 20.8% | 52.4% |
| Kate Flanagan | 15.9% | 19.3% | 21.3% | 26.6% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.