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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+2.91vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+1.65vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+5.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.42+3.02vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.12+4.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+2.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.84+6.40vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91+5.37vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.62+3.50vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.99+4.33vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.45+0.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.36+5.05vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.24+3.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49-2.18vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.98+5.03vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.91-1.81vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.88-2.98vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.60+0.31vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.09-4.29vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.25-3.77vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-7.47vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-2.15-1.38vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.47-6.17vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.85-5.07vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.46-3.42vs Predicted
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26University of California at Los Angeles-1.98-6.39vs Predicted
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27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91University of California at Santa Cruz1.4520.7%1st Place
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3.65University of California at Santa Barbara1.5022.4%1st Place
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8.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.836.0%1st Place
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7.02University of California at San Diego0.427.5%1st Place
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9.53University of Southern California-0.124.3%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.244.6%1st Place
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13.4University of California at Berkeley-0.842.4%1st Place
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13.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.912.2%1st Place
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12.5Arizona State University-0.623.1%1st Place
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14.33University of California at Berkeley-0.991.7%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Los Angeles-0.453.4%1st Place
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17.05University of California at Irvine-1.360.9%1st Place
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16.14San Diego State University-1.241.8%1st Place
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11.82University of California at Santa Barbara-0.493.5%1st Place
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20.03California State University Channel Islands-1.980.5%1st Place
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14.19San Diego State University-0.912.1%1st Place
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14.02University of California at Irvine-0.882.4%1st Place
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18.31Arizona State University-1.600.9%1st Place
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14.71Arizona State University-1.091.9%1st Place
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16.23University of California at San Diego-1.251.5%1st Place
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13.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.862.1%1st Place
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20.62University of California at Davis-2.150.5%1st Place
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16.83University of California at San Diego-1.471.1%1st Place
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18.93University of California at Los Angeles-1.850.8%1st Place
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21.58University of California at Davis-2.460.3%1st Place
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19.61University of California at Los Angeles-1.980.9%1st Place
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18.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.780.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 20.7% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 22.4% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Claire Wiley | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Hirz | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stank | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.6% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Erin Welker | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 16.2% |
| Nate Powers | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Luke Graham | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 24.9% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% |
| Pike Williams | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.