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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.77+9.98vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+5.85vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.63+5.07vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.30+5.42vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.93+1.82vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-0.63vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+0.50vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.50+0.41vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-0.37vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.74-5.63vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.51-2.32vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.29+0.65vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy4.09-6.48vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-3.09vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.43-2.75vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-7.61vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.55-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.98Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.85Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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6.82College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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5.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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7.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.41Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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4.37Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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12.65Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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10.91Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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12.25Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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16.18University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Kurzrok | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 3.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Perkins | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| David Thompson | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Chris Barnard | 17.4% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 26.1% | 7.8% |
| Clark Hayes | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 2.0% |
| Walker Banks | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 6.5% |
| Frederick Whitman | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Linda Codega | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.