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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+6.42vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+3.25vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.00vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.74+0.51vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+1.37vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+2.16vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.77+4.22vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.93-1.07vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.90+2.00vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.29+2.79vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.50-2.22vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-3.47vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.63-4.73vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.30-4.45vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.51-6.41vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.43-3.54vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.55-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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5.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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4.51Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.22Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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6.93College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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11.0Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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12.79Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.78Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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8.27Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.55Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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12.46Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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16.17University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| David Thompson | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 17.3% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 2.7% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 2.8% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 24.0% | 8.3% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Walker Banks | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 20.9% | 7.3% |
| Linda Codega | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 75.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.