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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.66+0.88vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.76+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia1.14-1.59vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.56-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Western Washington University1.660.4%1st Place
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2.77University of Oregon0.760.2%1st Place
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2.41University of British Columbia1.140.2%1st Place
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2.94University of Washington0.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Johannessen | 44.8% | 30.6% | 16.1% | 8.5% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 16.5% | 21.5% | 30.0% | 32.0% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 24.9% | 29.0% | 26.8% | 19.3% |
| Colin Bartels | 13.8% | 18.9% | 27.1% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.