Race 1A

saisa-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jason D'Agostino 13.2% 15.3% 18.0% 14.8% 13.7% 11.5% 7.8% 3.6% 1.8% 0.3%
Charles Rees 36.1% 28.1% 17.3% 10.2% 4.8% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stocke 23.1% 24.8% 18.8% 15.6% 10.5% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 6.6% 9.7% 12.9% 14.9% 16.1% 15.4% 12.7% 7.0% 3.6% 1.1%
John Reddaway 3.4% 4.8% 5.7% 7.0% 8.2% 10.9% 12.8% 19.4% 16.8% 11.0%
Jack Famiglietti 8.5% 7.7% 9.7% 13.2% 16.0% 14.5% 12.9% 10.4% 5.3% 1.8%
David Rogers 2.4% 3.0% 4.9% 7.3% 9.3% 12.4% 16.1% 17.1% 16.7% 10.8%
Maria Ayala 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 5.0% 4.9% 7.5% 10.7% 10.8% 22.7% 33.1%
Edwin Strong 4.2% 3.4% 7.5% 7.9% 11.8% 14.1% 15.1% 17.4% 11.7% 6.9%
Cassie Todd 1.2% 1.6% 2.8% 4.1% 4.7% 6.7% 8.9% 13.7% 21.3% 35.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.