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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charles Rees 38.6% 26.1% 15.5% 10.9% 4.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Jason D'Agostino 11.9% 14.4% 17.5% 15.6% 15.0% 13.0% 7.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.0%
Christopher Stocke 23.7% 23.5% 20.6% 16.2% 7.9% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Jack Famiglietti 6.1% 7.8% 11.7% 13.3% 15.6% 15.3% 12.8% 10.4% 5.5% 1.5%
Maria Ayala 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 5.9% 6.5% 8.4% 13.1% 22.3% 32.8%
David Rogers 3.8% 4.3% 5.0% 6.3% 7.8% 12.5% 15.1% 16.6% 17.9% 10.7%
Daniel Lawless 6.9% 10.5% 11.4% 15.6% 16.8% 14.2% 11.4% 8.5% 3.6% 1.1%
John Reddaway 2.7% 3.8% 5.5% 6.5% 10.6% 11.9% 16.0% 15.7% 15.1% 12.2%
Cassie Todd 1.3% 2.1% 2.3% 3.2% 4.4% 6.4% 10.5% 13.6% 20.9% 35.3%
Edwin Strong 3.2% 5.0% 7.5% 8.7% 11.4% 12.1% 15.5% 17.4% 12.9% 6.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.