← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.89+1.32vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College2.80+2.04vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida3.49-0.10vs Predicted
-
4University of Florida2.20+1.17vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.70+1.91vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University1.38-0.27vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University2.38-3.15vs Predicted
-
9Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-2.27vs Predicted
-
10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-1.91vs Predicted
-
11Clemson University1.66-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.32College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
-
4.04Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
-
2.9University of South Florida3.490.2%1st Place
-
5.17University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
-
7.91Rollins College0.700.0%1st Place
-
6.73North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
-
4.85Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.73Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
8.09University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
-
6.27Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 38.6% | 26.1% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 11.9% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 23.7% | 23.5% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Maria Ayala | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 22.3% | 32.8% |
| David Rogers | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 10.7% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| John Reddaway | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 12.2% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 20.9% | 35.3% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.