Race 4A

saisa-spring-coed

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christopher Stocke 26.0% 25.2% 18.3% 12.9% 8.9% 5.1% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Daniel Lawless 8.9% 6.9% 14.7% 13.8% 16.7% 14.3% 11.8% 8.0% 3.6% 1.3%
Charles Rees 35.2% 26.3% 19.1% 11.1% 5.6% 1.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jason D'Agostino 10.9% 15.6% 17.4% 18.3% 14.1% 12.1% 6.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Jack Famiglietti 7.3% 10.1% 8.5% 13.0% 15.3% 16.2% 13.6% 9.2% 4.9% 1.9%
David Rogers 3.7% 4.2% 4.7% 5.6% 8.5% 12.6% 14.4% 17.1% 17.9% 11.3%
Edwin Strong 3.0% 4.5% 6.0% 9.6% 11.7% 14.4% 17.7% 14.9% 12.2% 6.0%
John Reddaway 2.4% 3.8% 6.2% 7.7% 10.0% 10.4% 13.8% 17.5% 17.1% 11.1%
Maria Ayala 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 3.3% 4.7% 6.8% 9.8% 14.2% 23.5% 31.8%
Cassie Todd 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 4.7% 4.5% 6.5% 9.6% 13.7% 19.4% 36.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.