Race 5A

saisa-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Daniel Lawless 8.8% 10.2% 13.2% 14.1% 15.3% 13.3% 13.5% 6.9% 3.3% 1.4%
Charles Rees 36.1% 26.9% 18.4% 9.1% 6.5% 1.6% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 7.0% 7.7% 9.4% 11.4% 15.7% 17.2% 14.6% 9.7% 5.4% 1.9%
Christopher Stocke 22.7% 26.1% 19.9% 15.0% 9.3% 4.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Jason D'Agostino 12.9% 14.5% 18.3% 17.2% 15.2% 10.1% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9% 0.4%
Edwin Strong 4.8% 5.1% 5.5% 8.8% 10.8% 14.2% 15.3% 15.5% 13.3% 6.7%
David Rogers 2.4% 2.5% 5.0% 7.6% 9.1% 13.1% 14.7% 17.3% 17.0% 11.3%
John Reddaway 2.5% 4.4% 5.3% 7.5% 9.2% 11.6% 14.2% 18.8% 15.8% 10.7%
Maria Ayala 1.6% 1.2% 2.0% 5.1% 4.3% 7.6% 9.3% 13.3% 23.6% 32.0%
Cassie Todd 1.2% 1.4% 3.0% 4.2% 4.6% 7.2% 9.0% 14.2% 19.6% 35.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.