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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+2.49vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+6.37vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California-0.12+6.49vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.62+8.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.84+8.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.45-2.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.42+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+0.87vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.99+5.60vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49+1.51vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91+2.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.36+5.16vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.88+0.95vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.60+4.13vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-1.24+0.80vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.91-1.90vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.98+3.22vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.45-6.64vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.85-0.07vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.09-5.27vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-7.67vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-2.15-1.44vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.47-5.94vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-1.25-7.63vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.46-3.24vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78-7.40vs Predicted
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27University of California at Los Angeles-1.98-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of California at Santa Barbara1.5023.3%1st Place
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8.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.835.7%1st Place
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9.49University of Southern California-0.124.7%1st Place
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12.2Arizona State University-0.622.6%1st Place
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13.34University of California at Berkeley-0.842.1%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Santa Cruz1.4520.5%1st Place
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7.04University of California at San Diego0.427.8%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.245.1%1st Place
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14.6University of California at Berkeley-0.991.5%1st Place
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11.51University of California at Santa Barbara-0.492.9%1st Place
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13.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.911.6%1st Place
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17.16University of California at Irvine-1.361.1%1st Place
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13.95University of California at Irvine-0.882.2%1st Place
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18.13Arizona State University-1.600.9%1st Place
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15.8San Diego State University-1.241.5%1st Place
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14.1San Diego State University-0.911.9%1st Place
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20.22California State University Channel Islands-1.980.5%1st Place
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11.36University of California at Los Angeles-0.453.2%1st Place
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18.93University of California at Los Angeles-1.850.7%1st Place
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14.73Arizona State University-1.092.1%1st Place
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13.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.862.8%1st Place
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20.56University of California at Davis-2.150.7%1st Place
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17.06University of California at San Diego-1.471.1%1st Place
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16.37University of California at San Diego-1.251.2%1st Place
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21.76University of California at Davis-2.460.6%1st Place
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18.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.780.9%1st Place
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19.61University of California at Los Angeles-1.980.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Skerrett | 23.3% | 21.2% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Buster Baylis | 20.5% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Claire Wiley | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Erin Welker | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Graham | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| Camden Wacha | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.7% |
| Nate Powers | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 25.6% |
| Pike Williams | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.