← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University4.74+3.29vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.77+9.27vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+2.33vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.50+4.69vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+2.42vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.63+2.33vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+1.56vs Predicted
-
8Washington College2.29+4.55vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy4.09-2.35vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University3.30-0.69vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont3.51-2.23vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College2.43+0.38vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-5.90vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University3.67-5.81vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston3.93-7.94vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University2.90-5.09vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia0.55-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.29Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
-
11.27Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
-
5.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
-
8.69Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
-
8.33Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
-
8.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
-
12.55Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
-
6.65U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
-
9.31Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
-
8.77University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
12.38Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
-
7.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
8.19Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
7.06College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
-
10.91Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
-
16.18University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 19.3% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 3.3% |
| David Thompson | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Megan Magill | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.7% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 23.9% | 8.4% |
| Clark Hayes | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Walker Banks | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 6.8% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 2.4% |
| Linda Codega | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 9.7% | 75.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.