← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jason D'Agostino 13.3% 15.3% 16.4% 15.4% 15.0% 11.2% 7.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4%
Cassie Todd 1.7% 2.3% 2.9% 3.3% 3.8% 6.3% 10.3% 13.6% 20.8% 35.0%
Christopher Stocke 24.4% 21.8% 21.1% 15.6% 10.1% 4.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 6.1% 8.6% 10.1% 13.9% 16.1% 15.3% 13.1% 9.8% 5.1% 1.9%
Edwin Strong 4.4% 6.4% 7.2% 7.4% 9.8% 14.0% 15.8% 15.8% 12.8% 6.4%
Charles Rees 36.6% 26.6% 17.0% 11.3% 5.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
John Reddaway 2.5% 2.9% 4.7% 8.0% 8.8% 13.4% 15.2% 16.7% 17.2% 10.6%
David Rogers 2.3% 3.8% 5.8% 7.7% 8.4% 12.6% 13.8% 17.2% 16.5% 11.9%
Maria Ayala 1.4% 1.8% 2.9% 2.8% 5.4% 7.0% 10.8% 13.4% 21.9% 32.6%
Daniel Lawless 7.3% 10.5% 11.9% 14.6% 17.0% 13.9% 11.9% 7.9% 3.8% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.